Yes they holding the 8 cents on that game for some reason. Probaly thinking guys will come bac and take the Yankees after that ass kicking. Every other game at that split is a 16 cent split. But they do hold 8 cents onger on some games, than they do others.
But at this time of day, and offering 6 cents better than most other places, how can anyone saying that betting EITHER line at Pin is not smart? Win or lose, it is DUMB not to bet the side at Pinnacle.
That is why I say that Pin's "sharpness" is all in people's minds. Look at the lines right now. There are several books right in line with Pin on one side, then there are several books right in line with Pin on the other side. So which side is "right", and which side is "wrong"?
For the most part Pin will be 6 or 10 cents better on these big numbers by default, and they are definately the ones that I was citing yesterday, where they purposely hold 8 cents longer than normal. Because they have that hold at such high odds they can fool around if they like. For example, they don't have to make it a 6/6 split. They can make it 10/2 (-180/+172) or 3/9 (-187/+179), when the "market line is 190/170.
But that IS HOW Pin hangs their lines. It isn't quite as simple as splitting and offering it (the 6 cents) both ways.
But unless you know exactly the volume they have, and whether or not they are hedging one way or the other (gambling). Then there is also no way to know if volume will make a difference.
I have heard the numbers you guys spit out as their supposed volume, but I don't believe they are that high, I don't think they are even close to that. But I don't know, and niether does anyone else, so arguing about them makes no sense.
All I know is that no volume can make up for losing. A 1.5% to 5% hold can't even come close to making up for getting "beaten" repeatedly by hanging such "player advantageous" numbers.
But it is a fact that any book that "gambles" will lose. Especailly in baseball, and most definately at miniscule holds. That is the delicate balance. You have enough weekend warriors that blindly follow or bet any number they think is good for them, and they lose. the smarter, truly "sharp" guys will know the difference and either wait it out or bet early, and buy back late, or bet somewhere else, and get the prime number there.
So by "gambling" they do win their share of sclpas or buy backs. That is the major reason their numbers collapse on eway 10-15 minutes before game time, they KNOW that guys are probably looking to buy back, so they give them what they want.
I also don't think it is a coincidence that they open up with extremes one way, versus the market, nor do I think it is a coincisdence, that a majority of the time, that the extremes between the tow are at opening, and at close. There are of course the games that take action midday, but those also creep back the other way lttle by little.
For shits and giggles watch these lines today:
Hou/Cin opened -189/+181
Cubs opened -219/+201
Atl/Phi -109/+101
Fla +107/-115
SD/STLou +151/-159
LA/AZ -124/+116
Col/SF +176/-184
Sea/Tor +136/-144
Oak/Chi -191/+180
Thise were the numbers I saw as openers, not sure what the RX lines have them at, but they are the numbers I saw yesterday. Look at them now, and note where Pin is, and where the others are, then at game time note where Pin is and where the others are.
Obviously this is a one day thing and doesn't mean much. BUt it also shows that is is nearly impossible to detemine when and where Pin is going, until the game is over, and even then, you have to assume they are gambling to see anything at all.
